Monday, October 20, 2008

Race and Late Deciders

Brian Schaffner has a great piece up on looking at the question of late deciders and race. For those interested in questions like the Bradley Effect and issues of race and polling, I highly recommend taking a look at this piece. The short version is that Brian looks at Harold Ford's unsuccessful Senate bid in Tennessee and looks at late deciders to see if they broke against Ford. In other words, did late deciders just ultimately decide they couldn't be for an African-American candidate? His answer is no. If anything, Ford did a little better among late deciders than early deciders and he did not underperform the final polls.

No comments: