It is one poll so I'm not freaking out about it but PPP has a poll out this morning that has Obama down by 4 nationally.
Below the topline, PPP says they found the following sub-samples on the 3 days of the poll:
Friday (38%) Obama 47, Romney 49
Saturday (39%) Obama 49, Romney 47
Sunday (24%) Obama 43, Romney 55
So, obviously, Romney's lead comes entirely from the last day of polling and that could well be just random noise. Also, 44% of respondents in the poll identified as conservative and 16 percent identified as liberal. That can be either evidence of a bad sample or just the way real Romney voters and real Obama voters are identifying themselves. There's no way of knowing for sure.
I'm not going to get all upset about one poll but I do think PPP is generally a good pollster.
Tuesday, October 16, 2012
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