tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2325946921914725798.post8888371426236627137..comments2023-11-02T05:18:09.506-07:00Comments on Welcome to 270 Electoral Votes: We're Number 1 ... or Number 2!!!Larry Beckerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00276802060490643458noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2325946921914725798.post-34520035770249875762012-02-09T21:17:20.666-08:002012-02-09T21:17:20.666-08:00If you think voter enthusiasm among the Republican...If you think voter enthusiasm among the Republican base in 2012 is somehow analogous to voter enthusiasm among the Democratic base in 2008, you're just mistaken. Sure, conservatives will vote for Romney in the end. But what will Romney have to do to make this happen and what will that mean for independent voters? Sure, Romney can sink tons of cash into negative ads against Santorum and beat Santorum. But what will that mean for Romney's own unfavorables?Larry Beckerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00276802060490643458noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2325946921914725798.post-46149743888717817282012-02-09T20:18:48.030-08:002012-02-09T20:18:48.030-08:00This comment has been removed by the author.Jonathan Kellerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10922311537364898170noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2325946921914725798.post-23673911372917125122012-02-09T20:18:20.735-08:002012-02-09T20:18:20.735-08:00"My point is simply that Romney has a very di..."My point is simply that Romney has a very difficult (perhaps intractable) problem with getting his base on board." <br /><br />This mirror image of this exact point was made, *over and over again,* in the 2008 primaries re: Obama's "African-Americans and latte-sippers only 'problem,'" his "weakness w/ white lunchpail Democrats," etc. <br /><br />All Republicans will need in 2008 is Barack Hussein Obama's name on the ballot. <br /><br />Talk to me after Super Tuesday, when Romney's sitting there w/ delegates pouring into a bucket like a guy who just hit the Triple Eights at The Trop.Jonathan Kellerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10922311537364898170noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2325946921914725798.post-23527893679499999162012-02-08T13:32:52.905-08:002012-02-08T13:32:52.905-08:00But the delegate count is not what matters. It is...But the delegate count is not what matters. It is still inconceivable that Santorum or Gingrich could be the nominee. My point is simply that Romney has a very difficult (perhaps inctractable) problem with getting his base on board. He can move to the right and try to get them on board but that creates some problems. Or he can refuse to make an adjustment and deal with the possibility that voter turnout among conservatives will be be lower in the Fall. Neither option is very good. Also, he's going to waste a lot more money now and he's going to have to do more scorched earth campaigning which is driving his own unfavorables up.<br /><br />Right now, he's losing to Obama in some key swing states like Ohio, Virginia, and New Hampshire.<br /><br />It was just a very, very bad night for Romney and I just don't think they saw it coming until very close to Tuesday morning.Larry Beckerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00276802060490643458noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2325946921914725798.post-340114450309631212012-02-08T10:07:17.901-08:002012-02-08T10:07:17.901-08:00But Romney is still ahead in the delegate count. ...But Romney is still ahead in the delegate count. If we learned anything from the Obama-Clinton battle royale it's that delegates are the only thing that matters. The question is whether Mitt's lost too much momentum and won't be able to regain it in time for the big contests coming up.William D. Adlerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17216625077217223524noreply@blogger.com